🏙️ In 2026, the number of newly launched condominium units in Thailand may fall to 15,000–17,000 units. If the forecast is confirmed, this would mark the lowest level of new supply in the past 20 years. For comparison, 16,408 units entered the market in 2025, and that figure was already considered weak for the sector.

📉 The situation in the first quarter of 2026 is particularly telling. Formally, the market recorded around 7,170 new units, but this figure does not fully reflect the real breadth of developer activity. A significant share of the volume came from a single large project by BTS Group, D:CODE Sri Nakarin, with approximately 4,150 units. Without this project, the baseline launch volume for the quarter would have been below 3,000 units.

💡 What is happening with new supply

— the forecast for new launches in 2026 is 15,000–17,000 units;
— the figure may become the lowest in two decades;
— activity is concentrated around individual large-scale projects rather than a broad market recovery;
— a significant part of new supply is shifting toward more affordable price segments and locations outside central areas.

🏗️ Another important signal is the change in pricing strategy. New projects are increasingly entering the market below THB 80,000 per sq. m, while D:CODE Sri Nakarin is positioned even more affordably, at around THB 60,000 per sq. m. This shows that developers are targeting a more price-sensitive audience rather than relying on premium demand.

🌍 Demand from foreign buyers remains significant. According to market estimates, foreigners account for around 18–20% of condominium purchases in Thailand.

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