The Polish new-build housing market started 2026 with a noticeable recovery in demand. According to JLL Polska, cited by Eurobuild CEE, 12,900 apartments were sold in the country’s seven largest cities in the first quarter of 2026. This is 11.1% more than in the previous quarter and 35.2% more than a year earlier.

📊 The study covers Poland’s seven key residential markets: Warsaw, Kraków, Wrocław, Poznań, Tricity, Łódź, and Katowice. These cities are typically used as the main benchmark for assessing the condition of the country’s new-build housing market.

📈 What makes this growth especially important is that sales increased while new supply declined. In the first quarter of 2026, developers brought around 10,300 apartments to the market, which is fewer than the number sold during the same period. This means buyers were absorbing new units faster than developers were replenishing supply.

📍 Performance varied by city. The strongest quarterly growth in sales was recorded in Katowice, where sales increased by 51%, although in absolute terms this added around 170 extra transactions. In Warsaw, sales rose by 16.7% quarter-on-quarter, while in Łódź the increase reached 17.5%. Demand also grew in Kraków and Poznań.

🏗 For the market, this is an important signal. In 2024–2025, buyers in Poland often adopted a wait-and-see approach due to expensive mortgages, uncertainty around government support programmes, and high property prices. Current data now shows that demand is returning faster than new construction. If this trend continues, the stock of available apartments in the largest cities may gradually shrink, especially in areas with good transport links and developed urban infrastructure.

💶 For buyers, this means that the period of wider choice may gradually narrow. When sales grow faster than supply, competition usually increases for the most liquid properties: apartments with efficient layouts, projects near metro or tram lines, and housing in areas with strong rental demand.

📈 This situation could potentially lead to several effects:

— a smaller selection in the most sought-after projects;
— faster absorption of small and medium-sized apartments;
— stronger demand for properties in Warsaw, Kraków, Wrocław, and Tricity;
— a gradual return of price pressure in the new-build segment.

🏙 Poland remains one of the most liquid real estate markets in Central and Eastern Europe. For investors, it is important not only as a standalone destination but also as a benchmark for the wider region. If demand for new-build housing is recovering here amid limited new supply, this may indicate a broader rebound in buyer activity across major Central European cities.

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